Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zug, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday


	Henry Bernet		Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.69	2.2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.38)	2.07 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henry Bernet
55%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henry Bernet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henry Bernet's performance.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henry Bernet than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henry Bernet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Henry Bernet - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bernet will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Dellien Velasco will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Henry Bernet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bernet is ranked ATP: 773. Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 289.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bernet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henry Bernet
ATP Gstaad
13.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Henry Bernet - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Leo Raquillet - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Toprak Avcibasi - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Henry Bernet - Remy Bertola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Radu Mihai Papoe - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL

Henry Bernet - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide