Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Henry Bernet		Thijs Boogaard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.14	4.60
	1.12	4.9	Watch
	1.16	4.57	Watch
	1.17	4.85
	1.16	4.54	Watch
	1.12	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.33)	4.79 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Henry Bernet
80.7%

Thijs Boogaard
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henry Bernet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henry Bernet's performance.

Thijs Boogaard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thijs Boogaard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henry Bernet than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henry Bernet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thijs Boogaard than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thijs Boogaard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Henry Bernet - Thijs Boogaard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Bernet is ranked ATP: 371., and Boogaard is ranked ATP: 487..

Bernet is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Boogaard have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Boogaard could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Bernet is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henry Bernet
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Henry Bernet - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Clement Chidekh - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Henry Bernet - Felix Balshaw	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Henry Bernet - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWW
- Thijs Boogaard
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Timeo Trufelli - Thijs Boogaard	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Philip Henning - Thijs Boogaard	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Lucas Renard - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Love Nyqvist - Thijs Boogaard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches