Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Henry Bernet		Felix Balshaw

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.84)	1.95 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henry Bernet
52.3%

Felix Balshaw
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henry Bernet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Felix Balshaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henry Bernet than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henry Bernet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Balshaw than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Balshaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Henry Bernet - Felix Balshaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bernet will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Balshaw will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bernet is ranked ATP: 483., and Balshaw is ranked ATP: 198..

Bernet arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Balshaw shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Balshaw could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Balshaw - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.02%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henry Bernet
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Henry Bernet - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.09.26	Samir Banerjee - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Henry Bernet - Andreja Petrovic	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Karl Friberg - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW
- Felix Balshaw
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Felix Balshaw - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Billy Harris - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Felix Balshaw	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Mark Lajal - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW

Henry Bernet - Felix Balshaw: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide