Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Daniil Glinka		Henry Bernet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.62	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.74	2.05
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)	2.14 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
56.5%

Henry Bernet
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Glinka's performance.

Henry Bernet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henry Bernet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henry Bernet than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Daniil Glinka - Henry Bernet Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Glinka will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bernet will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Glinka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 173., and Bernet is ranked ATP: 482..

In recent outings, Glinka has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bernet is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Bernet may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Dino Prizmic - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Daniel Jade	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Mathys Erhard - Daniil Glinka	Erhard M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWL?
- Henry Bernet
ITF Tournaments
26.09.26	Samir Banerjee - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Henry Bernet - Andreja Petrovic	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Karl Friberg - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Christian Sigsgaard - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Viktor Frydrych - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

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