Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 TARRAGONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Hernan Casanova		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.48	2.45
	1.5	2.48
	1.57	2.25
	1.54	2.36
	1.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)	2.38 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hernan Casanova
61.1%

Ignacio Buse
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hernan Casanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hernan Casanova's performance.

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ignacio Buse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Preview

Casanova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Buse is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Buse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Casanova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hernan Casanova
ITF Tournaments
27.03.24	Hernan Casanova - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Hernan Casanova - Kuzey Cekirge	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Hernan Casanova - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
20.03.24	Hernan Casanova - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- Ignacio Buse
ITF Tournaments
26.03.24	Maxime Chazal - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Alexander Weis - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
04.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Jeison Ticona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.03.23	Hernan Casanova - Ignacio Buse	2:0

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