Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Hernan Casanova		Juan Sebastian Osorio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.18	4.33
	1.16	4.50
	1.18	5.42
	1.16	4.63	Watch
	1.16	5.35
	1.17	4.40	Watch
	1.33	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.34)	4.51 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hernan Casanova
79.1%

Juan Sebastian Osorio
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hernan Casanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hernan Casanova's performance.

Juan Sebastian Osorio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Sebastian Osorio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hernan Casanova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Sebastian Osorio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Sebastian Osorio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hernan Casanova - Juan Sebastian Osorio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Casanova is ranked ATP: 409. Osorio is ranked ATP: 840.

Casanova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Osorio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Osorio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Casanova is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Hernan Casanova - Mario Andre Galarraga	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Valerio Aboian - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Hernan Casanova - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Juan Estevez - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL
- Juan Sebastian Osorio
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Matias Soto	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Peter Bertran	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Alejandro Hayen	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Nicolas Oliveira	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Gabriel Schenekenberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW

Hernan Casanova - Juan Sebastian Osorio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide