What is the expert prediction for Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, June 26, 2026)

Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Piracicaba, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday


	Valerio Aboian		Hernan Casanova

	1	2
			Watch
	3.25	1.29	Watch
	3.61	1.33
	3.32	1.28	Watch
	3.45	1.3	Watch
	3.27	1.29	Watch
	3.25	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.81)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valerio Aboian
27.9%

Hernan Casanova
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Hernan Casanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valerio Aboian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hernan Casanova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Casanova will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aboian (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 464. Casanova is ranked ATP: 421.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Aboian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Casanova is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aboian won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
25.06.26	Valerio Aboian - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Thiago Cigarran - Valerio Aboian	Canceled ✺
14.05.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Valerio Aboian - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Valerio Aboian - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 W?LWW
- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
22.06.26	Hernan Casanova - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Juan Estevez - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Samuel Heredia - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.04.24	Hernan Casanova - Valerio Aboian	2:1
15.01.24	Hernan Casanova - Valerio Aboian	2:0
ITF Tournaments
30.03.21	Valerio Aboian - Hernan Casanova	0:2

Valerio Aboian - Hernan Casanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide