Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SEVILLE (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday


	Hernan Casanova		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.19	1.7
	2.2	1.62
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.83)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hernan Casanova
42.1%

Valentin Royer
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hernan Casanova's form might have worsened.

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Royer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hernan Casanova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Royer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hernan Casanova - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Casanova will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Royer will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casanova: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Casanova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Royer is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Casanova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Royer will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Casanova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
22.08.23	Hernan Casanova - Lucas Gerch	Casanova H. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.08.23	Hernan Casanova - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	Casanova H. retired ✺
16.08.23	Hernan Casanova - Cesar Bouchelaghem	2:1 ✺
15.08.23	Hernan Casanova - Tom Pisane	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.23	Hernan Casanova - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ??WWL
- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Valentin Royer - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Valentin Royer - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	1:2 ✺
29.08.23	Giovanni Fonio - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
28.08.23	Henrique Rocha - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
22.08.23	Valentin Royer - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.08.21	Valentin Royer - Hernan Casanova	1:2

Hernan Casanova - Valentin Royer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide