Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Hernan Casanova		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.96	1.76	Watch
	2.00	1.86
	1.94	1.75	Watch
	1.92	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.94	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.8)	1.76 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hernan Casanova
47.3%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Hernan Casanova - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Users Predictions: Hernan Casanova will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hernan Casanova will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Casanova is ranked ATP: 409. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 320.

Casanova is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ambrogi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Casanova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Casanova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Ignacio Monzon	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Samuel Heredia - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.08.23	Hernan Casanova - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	Casanova H. retired

Hernan Casanova - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide