Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 KASHIWA (JAPAN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday


	Hikaru Shiraishi		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.02	1.72
	2.11	1.68
	2	1.73
	2.09	1.67	Watch
	2.01	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.74)	1.69 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hikaru Shiraishi
45.3%

Hiroki Moriya
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hikaru Shiraishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hikaru Shiraishi's form might have worsened.

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hiroki Moriya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hikaru Shiraishi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hikaru Shiraishi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Shiraishi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hikaru Shiraishi
ITF Tournaments
04.04.23	Hikaru Shiraishi - Shinji Hazawa	2:1 ✺
28.03.23	Hikaru Shiraishi - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
10.03.23	Florent Bax - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
09.03.23	Hikaru Shiraishi - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Ryuki Matsuda - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Hiroki Moriya
ITF Tournaments
04.04.23	Kazuma Kawachi - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
30.03.23	Hiroki Moriya - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	Hiroki Moriya - Daisuke Sumizawa	2:0 ✺
28.03.23	Hiroki Moriya - Ko Suzuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.02.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL

Hikaru Shiraishi - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide