Match Info

Date: 24 February 2020, Monday


	Hiroki Moriya		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.72
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	1.98	1.71
	2.09	1.76
	2.05	1.67	Watch
	2.03	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.17)	1.72 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
45.9%

Alex Molcan
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hiroki Moriya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Molcan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hiroki Moriya - Alex Molcan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
19.02.20	Illya Marchenko - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
12.02.20	Hiroki Moriya - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
02.02.20	Hiroki Moriya - Danilo Petrovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.20	Hiroki Moriya - Mischa Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.20	David Novak - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
17.02.20	Alex Molcan - Andrea Vavassori	1:2 ✺
27.01.20	Andrea Arnaboldi - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
21.01.20	Alex Molcan - Go Soeda	1:2 ✺
19.01.20	Illya Marchenko - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
14.01.20	JC Aragone - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.03.19	Alex Molcan - Hiroki Moriya	0:2

Hiroki Moriya - Alex Molcan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide