Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday


	Hiroki Moriya		Dominik Palan

	1	2
	1.45	2.55
	1.47	2.49
	1.49	2.69
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.47	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.39)	2.55 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
63.5%

Dominik Palan
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Dominik Palan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominik Palan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Hiroki Moriya - Dominik Palan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 518. Palan is ranked ATP: 506.

Recent performances by Moriya have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Palan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Palan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moriya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Dominik Palan - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.66%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Hiroki Moriya - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Hiroki Moriya - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.08.26	Hiroki Moriya - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Hiroki Moriya - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW
- Dominik Palan
ATP Challenger
30.08.26	Dominik Palan - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Dominik Palan - Ji Sung Nam	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Semen Pankin - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.08.26	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Yanki Erel - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL

Hiroki Moriya - Dominik Palan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide