Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday


	Semen Pankin		Dominik Palan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.52	2.45	Watch
	1.60	2.39
	1.37	2.83
	1.58	2.35
	1.50	2.42	Watch
	1.53	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)	2.45 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Semen Pankin
61.7%

Dominik Palan
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Semen Pankin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Dominik Palan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Pankin than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Semen Pankin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominik Palan than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dominik Palan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Semen Pankin - Dominik Palan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Pankin is ranked ATP: 421. Palan is ranked ATP: 498.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Palan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pankin might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Dominik Palan - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.89%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Semen Pankin
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Fajing Sun - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Semen Pankin - Manas Manoj Dhamne	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Togan Tokac - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Sebastiano Cocola - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Marko Bekeni - Semen Pankin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW
- Dominik Palan
ITF Tournaments
04.08.26	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Yanki Erel - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Dominik Palan - Max Basing	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Dominik Palan - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Dominik Palan - Bernardo Munk Mesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWWW

Upcoming Matches