Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Launceston, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Hiroki Moriya		Jamie Mackenzie

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2
			Watch
	1.74	2.11
	1.49	2.41	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.58)	2.14 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
56.5%

Jamie Mackenzie
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Jamie Mackenzie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jamie Mackenzie than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Hiroki Moriya - Jamie Mackenzie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 506. Mackenzie is ranked ATP: 1051.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mackenzie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Hiroki Moriya - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.5%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Alex Bolt - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Hiroki Moriya - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Tai Sach - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Moerani Bouzige - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Hiroki Moriya - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWWL
- Jamie Mackenzie
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Colin Sinclair	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Chase Ferguson - Jamie Mackenzie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

Hiroki Moriya - Jamie Mackenzie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide