Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Tai Sach		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.75
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.26)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tai Sach
44.6%

Hiroki Moriya
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tai Sach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tai Sach than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Tai Sach - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sach will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Moriya will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sach: 59% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tai Sach will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sach is ranked ATP: 561. Moriya is ranked ATP: 539.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Moriya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moriya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sach won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tai Sach
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Yi Zhou - Tai Sach	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Tai Sach - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Tai Sach - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Tai Sach - Emile Hudd	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Tai Sach - Jack Bruce-Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWLW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Moerani Bouzige - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Hiroki Moriya - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Marek Gengel - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Justin Barki - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Hiroki Moriya - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Tai Sach - Hiroki Moriya	2:1

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