Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ningbo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ningbo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Hiroki Moriya		Taisei Ichikawa

	1	2
	1.36	2.80
	1.41	2.65
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.95
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	2.82 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
67.2%

Taisei Ichikawa
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Taisei Ichikawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taisei Ichikawa than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taisei Ichikawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hiroki Moriya - Taisei Ichikawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 480., and Ichikawa is ranked ATP: 746..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Ichikawa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Moriya is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Moriya has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Taisei Ichikawa - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.96%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Hiroki Moriya - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Keegan Smith - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Jilong Huang - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW
- Taisei Ichikawa
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
22.10.26	Lorenzo Lorusso - Taisei Ichikawa	0:2 ✺
21.10.26	Noah Karma - Taisei Ichikawa	1:2 ✺
21.10.26	Ren Nakamura - Taisei Ichikawa	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Blake Bayldon - Taisei Ichikawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.09.24	Taisei Ichikawa - Hiroki Moriya	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	James McCabe - Hiroki Moriya	✺
26.10.26	Hiroki Moriya - Timofei Derepasko	✺

Hiroki Moriya - Taisei Ichikawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide