Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guangzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Omar Jasika		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.43	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.5
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	2.58 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
64.1%

Hiroki Moriya
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 422., and Moriya is ranked ATP: 505..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Jasika may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jasika holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Jasika has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Omar Jasika - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Hiroki Moriya - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Liam Draxl - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Omar Jasika - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Timofei Derepasko - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Omar Jasika - Marat Sharipov	Sharipov M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLW?
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Hiroki Moriya - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Keegan Smith - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Jilong Huang - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Blake Ellis - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0
ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	1:2
29.02.24	Hiroki Moriya - Omar Jasika	2:0
ATP Challenger
09.11.15	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Omar Jasika - Yunseong Chung	✺

Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya