Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Omar Jasika		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.10
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.66	2.16
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.52)	2.16 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
57.1%

Hiroki Moriya
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 392., and Moriya is ranked ATP: 500..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Moriya could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Jasika is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Jasika has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Omar Jasika - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.26	Alex Bolt - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Omar Jasika	Jasika O. Retired ✺
11.09.26	Omar Jasika - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Rio Noguchi - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WL?LW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Jilong Huang - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Blake Ellis - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Hiroki Moriya - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Maximus Jones - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Hiroki Moriya - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	1:2
29.02.24	Hiroki Moriya - Omar Jasika	2:0
ATP Challenger
09.11.15	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0

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