Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Keegan Smith		Hiroki Moriya

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Keegan Smith
68.7%

Hiroki Moriya
31.3%

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

68.9%

31.1%

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Smith is ranked ATP: 199., and Moriya is ranked ATP: 500..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Smith may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Smith is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	Mitchell Krueger - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Bryce Nakashima - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Kaylan Bigun - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Keegan Smith - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Keegan Smith - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Jilong Huang - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Blake Ellis - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Hiroki Moriya - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Maximus Jones - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW

Keegan Smith - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide