Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SYDNEY (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Hoang Nam Ly		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.85
	1.82	1.85
	1.87	1.9
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	1.84	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.16)	1.85 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoang Nam Ly
49.9%

Hiroki Moriya
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoang Nam Ly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hoang Nam Ly's performance.

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hiroki Moriya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoang Nam Ly than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hoang Nam Ly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hiroki Moriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hoang Nam Ly
ATP Challenger
28.10.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Matt Hulme	2:0 ✺
25.10.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Aoran Wang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
28.10.23	Jayden Court - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
26.10.23	Hiroki Moriya - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
25.10.23	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
23.10.23	Dane Sweeny - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
13.10.23	Hiroki Moriya - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.06.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Hiroki Moriya	0:2

Hoang Nam Ly - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide