Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Hiroki Moriya		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.47
	2.31	1.56	Watch
	2.57	1.45	Watch
	2.71	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.05)	1.45 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
35.5%

Rio Noguchi
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroki Moriya's form might have worsened.

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Noguchi's recent form is better than expected.

Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rio Noguchi will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 470. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 242.

Noguchi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Noguchi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moriya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Hiroki Moriya - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.1%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Hiroki Moriya - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	James McCabe - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Tai Sach - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Hiroki Moriya - Yaojie Zeng	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Hiroki Moriya - Shixun Zhu	Zhu S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLL?
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Jake Delaney - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Rio Noguchi - Tai Sach	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Rio Noguchi - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Henrique Rocha - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya	1:2
01.11.23	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	0:2
25.10.23	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	2:1
ATP Chengdu
19.09.23	Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya	2:0
ITF Tournaments
16.06.21	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	2:1

Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide