Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MONTE CARLO (MONACO), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.55	2.55
	1.54	2.55
	1.53	2.5
	1.55	2.63
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.74	Watch
	1.54	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	2.59 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
62.7%

Andrey Rublev
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	0%	60.9%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 18 - 39.1%). Rublev will win (votes: 28 - 60.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 46.8% – 75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Rune could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rune will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rune won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Monte Carlo
15.04.23	Jannik Sinner - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Daniil Medvedev - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	Matteo Berrettini - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Rune H. walkover ✺
12.04.23	Dominic Thiem - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WW?WL
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Monte Carlo
15.04.23	Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
14.04.23	Andrey Rublev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
13.04.23	Andrey Rublev - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
11.04.23	Andrey Rublev - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.23	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
22.01.23	Andrey Rublev - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:2
ATP Paris
03.11.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Andrey Rublev	2:0

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