Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11
Finland	MTV Urheilu 2
Sweden	TV4 Sport Live 1


	Jannik Sinner		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	1.03	15	Watch
	1.03	11	Watch
	1.04	15.85
	1.04	12.14	Watch
	1.02	15
	1.02	14.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↓ (1.05)	13.97 ↑ (9.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
93.1%

Andrey Rublev
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.2%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Rublev will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 18 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6.5 Games - Sinner (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Rublev is ranked ATP: 14.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 4.

Sinner has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rublev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rublev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 1.7:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Jannik Sinner - the odds 1.05 are the expected chance of winning is 90.17%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
03.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Andrey Rublev - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Andrey Rublev - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
02.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	3:0
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	2:1
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Australian Open
23.01.24	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	3:0
ATP Vienna
28.10.23	Andrey Rublev - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP Miami
28.03.23	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.22	Andrey Rublev - Jannik Sinner	Sinner J. retired

Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide