Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 2
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United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Andrey Rublev		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	2.75	1.41	Watch
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.76	1.43	Watch
	3.05	1.43
	2.78	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.97)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
33.7%

Taylor Harry Fritz
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Fritz (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Rublev (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Fritz (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Fritz (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 11. Fritz is ranked ATP: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 2.

Recent performances by Rublev have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fritz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rublev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fritz might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Fritz will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
01.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?WWLL
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Jiri Lehecka - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
03.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Laver Cup
23.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
15.04.23	Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Andrey Rublev	2:1
ATP Indian Wells
19.03.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP Paris
03.11.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP Dubai
17.03.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Andrey Rublev	0:2

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