Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nine Network
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1
World	Eurosport 1


	Hubert Hurkacz		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4
	3.1	1.38	Watch
	3.22	1.4
	2.9	1.4
	3.02	1.41	Watch
	3	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.71)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
31.6%

Daniil Medvedev
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Hubert Hurkacz - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 21 - 53.8%). Medvedev will win (votes: 18 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 38.2% – 69.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 3.

Hurkacz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Medvedev is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Medvedev is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Australian Open
21.01.24	Arthur Cazaux - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
19.01.24	Ugo Humbert - Hubert Hurkacz	1:3 ✺
18.01.24	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:3 ✺
15.01.24	Omar Jasika - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
07.01.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Australian Open
21.01.24	Nuno Borges - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
20.01.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
18.01.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Daniil Medvedev	2:3 ✺
14.01.24	Terence Atmane - Daniil Medvedev	Atmane T. retired ✺
Exhibition World Tennis League
23.12.23	Daniil Medvedev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition World Tennis League
22.12.23	Daniil Medvedev - Hubert Hurkacz	0:1
ATP Halle
19.06.22	Daniil Medvedev - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP Miami
31.03.22	Daniil Medvedev - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.21	Daniil Medvedev - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
ATP Toronto
13.08.21	Daniil Medvedev - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Daniil Medvedev	3:2

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