Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.72	Watch
	2.11	1.82
	2.19	1.68	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.04	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
45.7%

Daniil Medvedev
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.6%	0%	85.4%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Medvedev will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 8. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 2.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Aliassime-Auger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.6:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
20.02.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. retired
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	2:0
ATP Australian Open
20.01.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	0:3
ATP Doha
24.02.23	Daniil Medvedev - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Rotterdam
17.02.23	Daniil Medvedev - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Australian Open
26.01.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	2:3
ATP Cup
08.01.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	0:2

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