Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
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Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
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Romania	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
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Sweden	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	TNT Eurosport 1, TNT Eurosport 2


	Hubert Hurkacz		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.30	3.40
	1.25	3.83
	1.28	4.2
	1.29	3.73	Watch
	1.27	4
	1.29	4.12	Watch
	1.27	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.5)	3.9 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
75.4%

Jan-Lennard Struff
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hubert Hurkacz's performance.

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan-Lennard Struff might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hubert Hurkacz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan-Lennard Struff could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	0%	30.4%

Hubert Hurkacz - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Struff will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Hurkacz (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 96. Struff is ranked ATP: 74.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hurkacz is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hubert Hurkacz - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 65.44%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Ofner	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Casper Ruud - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
25.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Daniil Medvedev	3:0 ✺
02.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:3 ✺
29.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Basel
25.10.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP Stuttgart
17.06.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
Davis Cup World Group
18.09.16	Jan-Lennard Struff - Hubert Hurkacz	3:0

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