Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Novak Djokovic		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.45
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.52	2.50
	1.57	2.47	Watch
	1.55	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.46)	2.46 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novak Djokovic
61.5%

Hubert Hurkacz
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novak Djokovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novak Djokovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hubert Hurkacz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Djokovic will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Djokovic is ranked ATP: 11., and Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 34..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Djokovic won 5.

Djokovic has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Hurkacz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Djokovic could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Djokovic is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Djokovic in today's match, at odds of 1.54.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Djokovic has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:5 (averaging 2.4:0.6 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novak Djokovic
ATP Beijing
06.10.26	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	De Minaur A. Retired ✺
05.10.26	Novak Djokovic - Daniil Medvedev	Djokovic N. Awarded ✺
04.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Nuno Borges - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 ??WWW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
05.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	Hurkacz H. Retired ✺
04.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Learner Tien - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Geneva
24.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Novak Djokovic	1:2
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.23	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Novak Djokovic	1:3
ATP Dubai
02.03.23	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0
ATP Madrid
06.05.22	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0
ATP Paris
06.11.21	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.19	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1

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