Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Germany	Discovery+(Ger)
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Italy	Discovery+
Norway	MAX
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United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK


	Hubert Hurkacz		Miomir Kecmanovic

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.55	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.32	3.74	Watch
	1.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.52)	3.53 ↑ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
73.1%

Miomir Kecmanovic
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hubert Hurkacz's performance.

Miomir Kecmanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miomir Kecmanovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hubert Hurkacz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miomir Kecmanovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hubert Hurkacz - Miomir Kecmanovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Kecmanovic will win (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 17. Kecmanovic is ranked ATP: 51.

Recent matches Hurkacz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kecmanovic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hurkacz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hurkacz is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Tallon Griekspoor	3:0 ✺
ATP United Cup
05.01.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
03.01.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
02.01.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
31.12.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Dusan Lajovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Adelaide
10.01.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
09.01.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Alexander Bublik - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
08.05.20	Hubert Hurkacz - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2
ATP Roma
11.05.19	Hubert Hurkacz - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2

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