Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: SHANGHAI (CHINA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:40	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	10:40	SportKlub
Brazil	05:40	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	11:40	Max Sport 1
Croatia	10:40	SportKlub
Czech Republic	10:40	Eurosport 2
France	10:40	Eurosport 1
Germany	10:40	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	10:40	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	09:40	Sport TV6
Serbia	10:40	SportKlub
Slovenia	10:40	SportKlub
Sweden	10:40	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Ukraine	11:40	Setanta Sports


	Hubert Hurkacz		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.95
	1.82	1.98
	1.83	1.93
	1.87	2.04
	1.91	1.91
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.9	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	1.95 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
51%

Sebastian Korda
49%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Korda will win (72 of 80 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.43% – 96.57%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hurkacz in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Korda is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Korda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Shanghai
12.10.23	Fabian Marozsan - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
24.09.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWW?
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Shanghai
12.10.23	Ben Shelton - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
03.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
21.01.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Korda	2:3
ATP Delray Beach
13.01.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Korda	2:0

Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Korda