Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sebastian Korda		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.62	2.3
	1.63	2.3
	1.66	2.37
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.63	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)	2.32 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
58.7%

Adrian Mannarino
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.9%	0%	64.1%

Sebastian Korda - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 14 - 35.9%). Mannarino will win (votes: 25 - 64.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 49% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mannarino is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mannarino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Korda will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Astana
02.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Nuno Borges - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
25.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Astana
02.10.23	Sebastian Ofner - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Adrian Mannarino - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Adrian Mannarino - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
28.09.23	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.23	Adrian Mannarino - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

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