Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Francisco Cerundolo		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.8	1.4
	2.91	1.47
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.88	1.42	Watch
	2.85	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)	1.43 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
33.2%

Sebastian Korda
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	0%	76%

Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Korda will win (votes: 19 - 76%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Korda is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Korda will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Korda to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Marton Fucsovics - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
06.10.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
22.09.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Richard Berankis	Canceled ✺
16.09.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWW?W
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
03.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
02.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

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