Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2 (Peru), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday


	Daniel Vallejo		Federico Coria

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.54	1.54
	2.47	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.36)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
37.2%

Federico Coria
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Vallejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Coria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Daniel Vallejo - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Coria will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vallejo: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 235. Coria is ranked ATP: 103.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coria will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Daniel Vallejo - Franco Roncadelli	2:1 ✺
24.10.24	Gastao Elias - Daniel Vallejo	Vallejo D. retired ✺
22.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?WLL
- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Orlando Luz - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Andres Andrade - Federico Coria	Andrade A. retired ✺
30.10.24	Mariano Kestelboim - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Nicolas Kicker - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WL?WW

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