Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRAUNSCHWEIG (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Hugo Dellien

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.85	1.92
	1.93	1.91
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.79	1.95	Watch
	1.82	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.62)	1.91 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
51%

Hugo Dellien
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pavel Kotov's form might have worsened.

Hugo Dellien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Dellien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Dellien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Pavel Kotov - Hugo Dellien Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Dellien will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dellien: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kotov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dellien has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
05.07.23	Leandro Riedi - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
04.07.23	Aziz Dougaz - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
29.06.23	Lloyd Harris - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
27.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
26.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWW
- Hugo Dellien
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Marcos Giron - Hugo Dellien	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.23	Hugo Dellien - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.23	Nicolas Jarry - Hugo Dellien	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
23.05.23	Hugo Dellien - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Pedro Cachin - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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