Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roanne 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Hugo Gaston		Pierre-Hugues Herbert

	1	2
	1.36	3.00	Watch
	1.34	3.00
	1.40	2.88	Watch
	1.36	2.84	Watch
	1.39	3.05
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.55)	2.94 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
68.3%

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Gaston's performance.

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pierre-Hugues Herbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hugo Gaston - Pierre Hugues Herbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 89., and Herbert is ranked ATP: 296..

In recent outings, Gaston has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gaston could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Gaston holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Gaston has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.19%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Jade	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
27.09.26	Hugo Gaston - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Jaime Faria - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Quinn Vandecasteele	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Kenta Miyoshi	2:1 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
18.07.26	Sandro Kopp - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.02.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Hugo Gaston	2:0
ATP Marseille
05.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1

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