Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brest 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Hugo Gaston		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.50
	1.42	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.59	2.30
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.45	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)	2.56 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
63.6%

Daniil Glinka
36.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Gaston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Glinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hugo Gaston - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 110., and Glinka is ranked ATP: 157..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Gaston may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Gaston holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Gaston has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Brussels
20.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
12.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Jade	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Almaty
17.10.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Daniil Glinka	Canceled ✺
11.10.26	Daniil Glinka - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Daniil Glinka	Glinka D. retired

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame	✺

Hugo Gaston - Daniil Glinka