Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TRIESTE (ITALY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday


	Hugo Gaston		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.78	2.02
	1.89	1.98
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.97	1.79	Watch
	1.84	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.07)	1.95 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
51.8%

Pedro Martinez Portero
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Gaston's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Gaston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hugo Gaston - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Martinez Portero is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Gaston to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaston won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
21.07.23	Kyrian Jacquet - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
20.07.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
18.07.23	Salvatore Caruso - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Hugo Gaston - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
21.07.23	Stefano Napolitano - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
20.07.23	Marcello Serafini - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
18.07.23	Peter Gojowczyk - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
12.07.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
11.07.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Hugo Gaston	Gaston H. retired

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