Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TRIESTE (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday


	Salvatore Caruso		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.36
	3.05	1.36
	3	1.41
	3	1.36
	3.13	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salvatore Caruso
31.2%

Hugo Gaston
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salvatore Caruso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Salvatore Caruso - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caruso will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Caruso is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaston is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Caruso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gaston is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gaston to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caruso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Salvatore Caruso - Richard Berankis	Canceled ✺
03.07.23	Salvatore Caruso - Michael Vrbensky	Caruso S. retired ✺
02.07.23	Salvatore Caruso - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Federico Coria - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
27.06.23	Julian Ocleppo - Salvatore Caruso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ??WLW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
16.07.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Hugo Gaston - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
14.07.23	Hugo Gaston - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
13.07.23	Hugo Gaston - Pablo Cuevas	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Hugo Gaston - Miljan Zekic	Zekic M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.10.21	Hugo Gaston - Salvatore Caruso	2:0

Salvatore Caruso - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide