Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Marco Trungelliti		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.45	1.54
	2.47	1.6
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.54	Watch
	2.35	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.01)	1.57 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
40.1%

Matteo Arnaldi
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Arnaldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marco Trungelliti - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
07.04.23	Marco Trungelliti - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
05.04.23	Andrea Collarini - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
03.04.23	Kyle Edmund - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
28.03.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
24.03.23	Billy Harris - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
07.04.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
06.04.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
04.04.23	Feliciano Lopez - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Zsombor Piros - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Lukas Klein - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

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