Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Iga Swiatek		Danielle Collins

	1	2
	1.4	3
	1.4	2.95
	1.38	2.94	Watch
	1.38	3.3
			Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.43	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iga Swiatek
68.4%

Danielle Collins
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Danielle Collins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danielle Collins than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Iga Swiatek - Danielle Collins Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Collins will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 6 - 60%). Collins (votes: 4 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Collins (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Swiatek (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Collins (votes: 6 - 46.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Swiatek is ranked WTA: 4. Collins is ranked WTA: 54.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 4.

Swiatek is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Collins has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Swiatek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Swiatek is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iga Swiatek
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.25	Iga Swiatek - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Iga Swiatek - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
28.06.25	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
27.06.25	Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- Danielle Collins
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.25	Danielle Collins - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
10.06.25	Danielle Collins - Greetje Minnen	1:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.25	Danielle Collins - Olga Danilovic	1:2 ✺
26.05.25	Danielle Collins - Jodie Anna Burrage	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
10.05.25	Danielle Collins - Iga Swiatek	2:0
WTA Olympic Games
31.07.24	Iga Swiatek - Danielle Collins	Collins D. retired
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.24	Iga Swiatek - Danielle Collins	2:0
WTA Australian Open
17.01.24	Iga Swiatek - Danielle Collins	2:1
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.23	Iga Swiatek - Danielle Collins	2:0
WTA Montreal
11.08.23	Iga Swiatek - Danielle Collins	2:1
WTA Doha
15.02.23	Iga Swiatek - Danielle Collins	2:0

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