Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Final

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hungary	Arena 4
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Iga Swiatek		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.2	4.75
	1.15	5.6	Watch
	1.15	6.21
	1.21	4.50	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.19)	5.31 ↑ (4.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iga Swiatek
82%

Jasmine Paolini
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Paolini will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jasmine Paolini will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Swiatek is ranked WTA: 3. Paolini is ranked WTA: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 5.

Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, Swiatek is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 1.8:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iga Swiatek
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Iga Swiatek - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Iga Swiatek - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Iga Swiatek - Marta Kostyuk	Swiatek I. walkover ✺
09.08.25	Iga Swiatek - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWW?W
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Jasmine Paolini - Barbora Krejcikova	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Jasmine Paolini - Ashlyn Krueger	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Bad Homburg
27.06.25	Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
Exhibition World Tennis League Women
19.12.24	Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini	1:0
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
18.11.24	Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini	2:1
WTA Roland Garros
08.06.24	Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA US Open
30.08.22	Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
ITF Tournaments
26.07.18	Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini	2:0

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