Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: FINALS - CANCUN (WORLD), HARD

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday


	Iga Swiatek		Ons Jabeur

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.14	5.5
	1.13	6	Watch
	1.15	6.29
	1.15	6.41
	1.14	5.5
	1.15	5.45	Watch
	1.18	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.31)	5.72 ↑ (3.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iga Swiatek
83.2%

Ons Jabeur
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iga Swiatek's performance.

Ons Jabeur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ons Jabeur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iga Swiatek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ons Jabeur than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ons Jabeur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Iga Swiatek - Ons Jabeur Predictions

Users Predictions: Iga Swiatek will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swiatek won 3.

Swiatek in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Jabeur is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 6 head-to-head matches Swiatek won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iga Swiatek
WTA Finals
01.11.23	Iga Swiatek - Cori Gauff	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Iga Swiatek - Marketa Vondrousova	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
08.10.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Cori Gauff - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Caroline Garcia - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- Ons Jabeur
WTA Finals
01.11.23	Ons Jabeur - Marketa Vondrousova	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Cori Gauff - Ons Jabeur	2:0 ✺
WTA Zhengzhou
13.10.23	Ons Jabeur - Darya Kasatkina	Kasatkina D. walkover ✺
12.10.23	Ons Jabeur - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
03.10.23	Marta Kostyuk - Ons Jabeur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Stuttgart
22.04.23	Iga Swiatek - Ons Jabeur	Jabeur O. retired
WTA US Open
10.09.22	Iga Swiatek - Ons Jabeur	2:0
WTA Roma
15.05.22	Iga Swiatek - Ons Jabeur	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
18.08.21	Ons Jabeur - Iga Swiatek	2:0
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.21	Iga Swiatek - Ons Jabeur	1:2
WTA Washington
29.07.19	Ons Jabeur - Iga Swiatek	1:2

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