Match Info

Date: 15 November 2021, Monday


	Iga Swiatek		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.48	1.5
	2.55	1.57
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.57	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.1)	1.52 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iga Swiatek
37.5%

Paula Badosa
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iga Swiatek's form might have worsened.

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iga Swiatek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.3%	0%	76.7%

Iga Swiatek - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 90 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 21 - 23.3%). Badosa will win (votes: 69 - 76.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 68% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Badosa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iga Swiatek
WTA Finals
13.11.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek	2:1 ✺
11.11.21	Maria Sakkari - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
12.10.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
10.10.21	Veronika Kudermetova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
08.10.21	Petra Martic - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Finals
13.11.21	Maria Sakkari - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
11.11.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
17.10.21	Paula Badosa - Victoria Azarenka	2:1 ✺
15.10.21	Ons Jabeur - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
14.10.21	Paula Badosa - Angelique Kerber	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Olympic Games
26.07.21	Iga Swiatek - Paula Badosa	0:2

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