Match Info
WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Semi-finalsDate: 5 June 2025, ThursdayLocation: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max |
 Croatia | Max |
 Czech-republic | Max |
 Denmark | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max |
 Finland | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max |
 France | France TV Rolan Garros, Max |
 Hungary | Max |
 Norway | MAX |
 Poland | Max |
 Romania | Max |
 Serbia | Max |
 Slovenia | Max |
 Sweden | Max |
 Switzerland | SRF 2, SRF 2 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | Max |
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Aryna Sabalenka |
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Iga Swiatek |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aryna Sabalenka
53.5% | Iga Swiatek
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aryna Sabalenka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iga Swiatek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek Predictions
Users Predictions:
75 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 58 - 77.3%). Swiatek will win (votes: 17 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 67.8% – 86.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 43 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 31 - 72.1%). Swiatek (votes: 12 - 27.9%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 Games - Sabalenka (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 45 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Swiatek (votes: 12 - 26.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 5.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 2.Both players have triumphed in their latest matches. In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.We predict that Sabalenka will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.7:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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