Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2 (Peru), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday


	Ignacio Buse		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.2
	1.6	2.19	Watch
	1.65	2.27
	1.58	2.28	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.09)	2.21 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
57.8%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Manuel Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Ignacio Buse - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 225. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 142.

Recent matches Buse is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerundolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
28.10.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
07.10.24	Ignacio Buse - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Vit Kopriva - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
30.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Henrique Rocha	Cerundolo J. M. retired ✺
29.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
24.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?WLWW

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