Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday


	Ignacio Buse		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.69	2.2
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.14	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	2.14 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
56.4%

Henrique Rocha
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Ignacio Buse - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 209. Rocha is ranked ATP: 163.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Rocha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Vit Kopriva - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
01.10.24	Henrique Rocha - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Emilio Nava - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Henrique Rocha - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWW?

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