Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil (Ecuador), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	2	1.73
	1.91	1.8
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2	1.83
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	1.93	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.84)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
48.2%

Ignacio Buse
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Buse will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Varillas Patino-Samudio is ranked ATP: 206. Buse is ranked ATP: 221.

Two players are playing changeable.

Buse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
18.10.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
17.10.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
11.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
07.10.24	Ignacio Buse - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Vit Kopriva - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW

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