Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell 2 (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Ignacio Buse		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.39	2.7
	1.4	2.86
	1.4	2.74	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.77	Watch
	1.39	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.4)	2.74 ↑ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
66.2%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Ignacio Buse - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 211. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 433.

Recent matches Buse is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alvarez Varona in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Alvarez Varona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Buse will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ITF Tournaments
26.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Ignacio Buse	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Jerome Kym - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WW?LL
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ITF Tournaments
26.09.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Stuart Parker - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Sakamoto	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
02.09.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Miguel Damas - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WW?WW

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