Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Javato Conejero A. M. (Esp)


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.38	3.12
	1.38	2.91	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3.12	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)	3 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
68.8%

Pedro Sakamoto
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez Varona's performance.

Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Sakamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 545. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 277.

Alvarez Varona in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sakamoto is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sakamoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alvarez Varona is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alvarez Varona to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Miguel Damas - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.08.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Miguel Damas - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Alejandro Garcia - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Pedro Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
13.08.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
07.08.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Fabio Fognini - Pedro Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Sakamoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide