Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday


	Ignacio Buse		Riccardo Bonadio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.71	2.08
	1.72	2.08
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.89)	2.03 ↑ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
54.2%

Riccardo Bonadio
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Riccardo Bonadio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Riccardo Bonadio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Riccardo Bonadio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ignacio Buse - Riccardo Bonadio Predictions

Users Predictions: Ignacio Buse will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Buse is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bonadio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bonadio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Buse won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
23.06.24	Ignacio Buse - Alexey Zakharov	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Ignacio Buse - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Jiri Vesely - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.05.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
24.05.24	Ignacio Buse - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLW
- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Challenger
23.06.24	Gabriele Piraino - Riccardo Bonadio	1:2 ✺
20.06.24	Daniel Altmaier - Riccardo Bonadio	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
18.06.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Riccardo Bonadio	1:2 ✺
17.06.24	Federico Agustin Gomez - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.04.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Ignacio Buse	1:2

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