Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Mataro (Spain), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Referee: Asderaki-Moore E. (Gre)


	Lorenzo Giustino		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
	2.7	1.4
	2.76	1.42
	2.76	1.43
	2.75	1.4
	2.72	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.52)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
34.2%

Ignacio Buse
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Lorenzo Giustino - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Giustino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Buse is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Buse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Buse will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Buse to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Giustino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
24.05.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Nicola Kuhn	2:0 ✺
23.05.24	Lorenzo Giustino - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
21.05.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Manel Lazaro Juncadella	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Maxence Beauge	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL
- Ignacio Buse
ITF Tournaments
24.05.24	Ignacio Buse - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
23.05.24	Ignacio Buse - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
22.05.24	Ignacio Buse - Albert Pedrico Kravtsov	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Albert Pedrico Kravtsov - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
18.05.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0

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